A recent ABC News/Ipsos poll has revealed that Vice President Kamala Harris gained no significant boost in support after the Democratic National Convention, leaving her race against former President Donald Trump unchanged. The survey, conducted between August 23 and 27 among 2,496 adults, shows Harris leading Trump by a narrow margin, with 50% of respondents favoring her and 46% backing Trump. Among likely voters, Harris’s lead extends slightly to 52% over Trump’s 46%.
Despite this slight advantage, the poll suggests that Harris failed to capitalize on the traditional post-convention bounce that often benefits candidates. The numbers remained essentially the same compared to pre-convention figures, indicating a lack of momentum as the campaign enters its final stretch. Analysts have pointed out that the absence of a bounce could signal challenges ahead for Harris, who faces a deeply divided electorate.
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The poll also highlighted the public's dissatisfaction with the current matchup. Although the race between Harris and Trump is viewed more favorably than the prospect of a Biden-Trump rematch, 53% of respondents still expressed dissatisfaction with the choice between the two candidates.
This contrasts with the 71% dissatisfaction rate when President Joe Biden was expected to be the Democratic nominee, suggesting that Harris has slightly more appeal within her party and among left-leaning independents.
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On key issues, Trump leads Harris in areas such as the economy, inflation, immigration, and the Israel-Hamas conflict. Meanwhile, Harris holds an edge on race relations, abortion, and healthcare. Interestingly, the candidates are tied on the issue of crime and safety, reflecting the polarized views of the electorate.
The poll's findings come as both campaigns ramp up their efforts in battleground states. Harris has been focusing on issues that resonate with women and minority voters, while Trump continues to emphasize his handling of the economy and immigration, areas where he maintains a strong lead.
The lack of a convention bounce for Harris could raise concerns within the Democratic Party as they seek to rally support and secure voter turnout in the coming months. The race remains tightly contested, with both candidates vying for a narrow segment of undecided voters who could tip the scales in November.
This poll serves as a crucial barometer of the current political landscape, illustrating the challenges Harris faces in solidifying her position as the Democratic nominee. As the campaign progresses, both candidates will need to navigate a complex and divided electorate, with the outcome likely hinging on key swing states and voter turnout.
